Ice Cream Shop input evidence register
45 numeric input paths with their assumptions, calculation bases and cited sources.
Case updated September 9, 2026. This technical appendix accompanies the complete case methodology and source register.
Dataset use notice: no Creative Commons license or DOI is asserted. Referenced material remains subject to its publisher’s terms.
A linked reference can support scope without confirming an exact forecast. Assumption entries identify values that still require local validation. Each field path identifies an input in the common business record.
- Model assumption
StartFigures selected the complete opening range, site-work, counter, deposits, opening inputs, contingency and reserve for one fixed-location scenario. SBA supports separating pre-opening expenses, assets and cash for early deficits; CBRE and FDA provide rent and jurisdictional context. None supplies these dollar amounts. Replace them with the lease, authority fees, project schedule and dated cash plan.
capital.total · capital.low · capital.high · capital.items.0.amount · capital.items.3.amount · capital.items.4.amount · capital.items.5.amount · capital.items.6.amount · capital.items.7.amount
- Model assumption
Current vendor listings establish examples of a 12-tub dipping cabinet, backup freezer and milkshake mixer and their individual prices on the access date. StartFigures authored the larger equipment-package allowances; quantity, sizing, freight, tax, utilities, sinks, commissioning, installation, warranty and local service remain unquoted.
capital.items.1.amount · capital.items.2.amount
- Model assumption
Every annual value is an authored scenario. Year-three revenue is exactly 160 orders × $12.75 × 6 days × 52 weeks. Cost of sales applies the selected 32% variable-cost envelope. Payroll and overhead are schedules informed by national wage, employer-tax, payment, food-service and seasonality context; none verifies this location's sales or expenses.
forecast.years.0.revenue · forecast.years.0.costOfSales · forecast.years.0.payroll · forecast.years.0.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.1.revenue · forecast.years.1.costOfSales · forecast.years.1.payroll · forecast.years.1.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.2.revenue · forecast.years.2.costOfSales · forecast.years.2.payroll · forecast.years.2.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.3.revenue · forecast.years.3.costOfSales · forecast.years.3.payroll · forecast.years.3.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.4.revenue · forecast.years.4.costOfSales · forecast.years.4.payroll · forecast.years.4.occupancyAndOther
- Model assumption
The order price, volume, schedule, ranges, ramp and monthly pattern are StartFigures planning inputs. Classification, industry survey, national production and food-service spending do not establish one shop's ticket, throughput or launch curve. Validate them with a local menu, capacity test and ordinary weak-season paid orders.
unitEconomics.driver.model · unitEconomics.driver.low · unitEconomics.driver.high · unitEconomics.volume.model · unitEconomics.volume.low · unitEconomics.volume.high · unitEconomics.daysPerWeek.model · unitEconomics.daysPerWeek.low · unitEconomics.daysPerWeek.high · unitEconomics.ramp.startShare · unitEconomics.ramp.stepPerMonth · unitEconomics.ramp.horizonMonths
- Model assumption
The $32,500 mature monthly fixed-cost input equals year-three payroll and occupancy/other costs divided by 12. The 68% contribution margin is one minus the selected 32% sales-linked cost envelope. Published context identifies costs to validate but does not verify either selected input.
unitEconomics.fixedCostsMonthly · unitEconomics.contributionMargin