Meal Prep Service input evidence register
44 numeric input paths with their assumptions, calculation bases and cited sources.
Case updated September 13, 2026. This technical appendix accompanies the complete case methodology and source register.
Dataset use notice: no Creative Commons license or DOI is asserted. Referenced material remains subject to its publisher’s terms.
A linked reference can support scope without confirming an exact forecast. Assumption entries identify values that still require local validation. Each field path identifies an input in the common business record.
- Model assumption
Authored licensed-kitchen opening allocation. Current kitchen access and regulatory sources inform categories but do not verify the facility, equipment, vehicle or reserve amounts.
capital.total · capital.low · capital.high · capital.items.0.amount · capital.items.1.amount · capital.items.2.amount · capital.items.3.amount · capital.items.4.amount · capital.items.5.amount · capital.items.6.amount
- Model assumption
Authored sold-meal path: 90 meals/day at $15.50 in Year one, 140 at $15.50 in Year two, 180 at $15.50 in Year three, 205 at $15.75 in Year four and 230 at $16.00 in Year five, each over five days and 52 weeks. The current subscription provider prices are anchors, not proof of demand or realized price.
forecast.years.0.revenue · forecast.years.1.revenue · forecast.years.2.revenue · forecast.years.3.revenue · forecast.years.4.revenue
- Model assumption
Authored 38% sales-linked pool for food, packaging, payment and delivery-linked costs. Replace it with recipe yields, invoices, waste, discounts, fees and route records.
forecast.years.0.costOfSales · forecast.years.1.costOfSales · forecast.years.2.costOfSales · forecast.years.3.costOfSales · forecast.years.4.costOfSales
- Model assumption
Authored paid owner-chef and three-employee schedule with employer-cost allowance. National occupation pay and federal payroll-tax components are context only.
forecast.years.0.payroll · forecast.years.1.payroll · forecast.years.2.payroll · forecast.years.3.payroll · forecast.years.4.payroll
- Model assumption
Authored kitchen, utility, delivery, insurance, software, marketing and administration schedule. It is not a lease, kitchen contract or insurance quote.
forecast.years.0.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.1.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.2.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.3.occupancyAndOther · forecast.years.4.occupancyAndOther
- Model assumption
Authored meal-level bridge used for capacity and break-even. The $15.50 retained price, 180 meals per day, 62% contribution, fixed costs and ramp are not national averages.
unitEconomics.driver.model · unitEconomics.driver.low · unitEconomics.driver.high · unitEconomics.volume.model · unitEconomics.volume.low · unitEconomics.volume.high · unitEconomics.daysPerWeek.model · unitEconomics.daysPerWeek.low · unitEconomics.daysPerWeek.high · unitEconomics.fixedCostsMonthly · unitEconomics.contributionMargin · unitEconomics.ramp.startShare · unitEconomics.ramp.stepPerMonth · unitEconomics.ramp.horizonMonths