Pizza Shop input evidence register
44 financial inputs with their assumptions, calculation bases and cited sources.
Read the supported claim, observation period, geography and units together. A source access date records when it was consulted. A model assumption identifies a selected amount or target; a calculated result follows from those inputs and does not establish observed demand or a quoted opening budget.
Case updated October 4, 2026. These notes accompany the complete case methodology and source register.
Dataset use notice: no Creative Commons license or DOI is asserted. Referenced material remains subject to its publisher’s terms.
These notes explain the opening budget, annual forecast and calculator assumptions. Linked sources provide the support described in each note; they do not necessarily confirm the selected amounts. Check scenario assumptions against local quotes and operating records.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Total opening budget · Lower opening budget · Upper opening budget · Leasehold improvements and site systems · Kitchen equipment and commissioning · POS, counter, seating and signage · Deposits, permits and professional fees · Opening inventory, training and launch · Project contingency · Working capital reserve
Every capital value is an authored planning allowance. The current construction guide and displayed equipment prices establish order-of-magnitude anchors, while the low/base/high values represent a fitted former pizzeria, a partial second-generation refit, and major work in a higher-cost market. None is a contractor, landlord, authority or supplier quote for an actual site.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Average order (base scenario) · Average order (lower sensitivity) · Average order (upper sensitivity)
Slice’s 2026 report labels $35.18 as national order value, $22.38 as walk-in and $43.59 as online in its platform data. Those figures are reported references; adopting them as this shop’s net-order base and bounds is a planning choice. The full weighting, observation window and tax/tip/delivery denominator are not disclosed sufficiently to verify comparability. They do not establish local demand, a channel mix or retained revenue.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Orders per day (base scenario) · Orders per day (lower sensitivity) · Orders per day (upper sensitivity) · Trading days per week (base scenario) · Trading days per week (lower sensitivity) · Trading days per week (upper sensitivity)
Order counts and trading days are authored demand and capacity sensitivities. The equipment references show the modeled kitchen is not obviously undersized at base volume, but only timed production tests and local demand observations can validate throughput.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Monthly fixed operating costs
$42,538 is the rounded monthly equivalent of $336,461 fixed payroll plus $174,000 fixed occupancy and other operating costs. Every roster rate, paid-leave factor, non-FICA burden component, rent, recovery and overhead amount is an authored input requiring local quotes.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Contribution margin
The 0.606 contribution margin equals one minus 28% ingredients, 3% packaging, 5% effective third-party commission, 2.5% effective payment processing and 0.9% tip-linked employer cost. Current prices and published fee schedules inform the bridge, but the mix and effective shares are authored assumptions. The 20% marketplace sales mix is selected, not measured. The 5% commission blend equals 20% × 25%; the processing and tip-linked shares are separate allowances on total net sales. Prices, portion waste and signed contracts remain unverified locally.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Opening sales as a share of mature volume · Monthly increase toward mature volume · Forecast horizon (months)
A 50% opening share, four percentage-point monthly step and 18-month display horizon are authored ramp inputs. No source measures the launch curve of this unselected site.
- Model assumption
Applies to: Revenue (Years 1–5) · Food and packaging (Years 1–5) · Payroll incl. taxes (Years 1–5) · Occupancy, delivery fees and other operating (Years 1–5)
All 20 forecast figures are calculated from the authored ramp, sales, roster, food, packaging, channel, processing and fixed-overhead assumptions. Sources supply context or individual fee and wage anchors; none verifies the forecast or a local average.